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DOI:10.35877/454ri.qems2718 - Corpus ID: 270939461
@article{Ahmar2024TheIO, title={The Implementation of Holt-Winters Method to Forecast the Loan Interest Rate of Indonesia}, author={Ansari Saleh Ahmar and Abdul Rahman and Mohd. Rizal Mohd. Isa and Rahmat Hidayat}, journal={Quantitative Economics and Management Studies}, year={2024}, url={https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:270939461}}
- A. Ahmar, Abdul Rahman, Rahmat Hidayat
- Published in Quantitative Economics and… 23 June 2024
- Economics, Business
This study aimed to anticipate the rupiah loan interest rates at commercial banks in Indonesia by employing the Holt-winters method. This study employs data on rupiah loan interest rates from commercial banks in Indonesia. The data comprises a time series element, with monthly intervals spanning from January 2013 to November 2015, which was obtained from the official website of BPS Indonesia. The study demonstrates that the Holt-winters technique yields the most accurate forecasts, as indicated…
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14 References
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The Holt-Winters method has been widely used to forecast a seasonal time series in application fields as a nonparametric forecasting technique. In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic forecast…
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The algorithm (Boot. EXPOS) using exponential smoothing and bootstrap methodologies, has showed promising results for forecasting time series with one seasonal pattern and a new challenge was now to combine these seasonal methods with bootstrap and carry over a similar resampling scheme used in Boot.EXPOS procedure.
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The results obtained are that the backpropagation method is better at predicting dog bite case data with an average MAPE error rate of 11.59%, while the holt-winters method has an averageMAPE error rates of 16.05%, and the polynomial regression method has the highest average error rate.
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